Tropical Disturbance Has Formed in the Atlantic
National Hurricane Center
Don't look now but a tropical wave has formed in the Atlantic and it's kinda heading right for us. It's too early to say what exactly will become of this thing but the National Hurricane Center says that the tropical wave is moving at a westwardly slant and, according to the cone of probability, it's headed in the direction of our state.
Forecasters at the Hurricane Center are giving the tropical wave a twenty percent chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next five days, and just a ten percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next two days, which means our weekend is safe!
via National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center
Still, the Hurricane Center says that the "environmental conditions could be marginally conducive for some slow development of this disturbance," which means even if it doesn't become something of consequence, it'll still probably dump a crapload of rain on us early next week.
For now, the wave is located just over 1,000 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, and is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers — just like the kind of weather we get round these parts every July.
If is should become a tropical cyclone, it would be named Danny.
That's right. We're already in the Ds of the storm-naming phase.
That's because, while experts have predicted a slower-than-usual Hurricane Season on our side of the states, we've already seen a record start to the season, with eleven named storms having already formed in both the Atlantic and Pacific basis. The Atlantic Hurricane Season kicked off on June 1.
The good news, however, has been that only three of those named storms have formed in the Atlantic. That's because, as predicted, El Niño has been wrecking havoc for tropical waves to form and become anything significant. Tropical Storm Ana has been the only storm to make any noise thus far this year — and she made landfall way before Hurricane Season started, becoming the earliest tropical sandstorm to hit the Eastern U.S. in recorded history.
For now, we should all keep an eye on the tropical wave's trajectory and probably prepare ourselves for a wet workweek next week. All while local forecasters duke it out over who is going to give us the more accurate forecast of all.
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