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Florida Medical Marijuana Is Actually Not Done, According to Latest Poll

As we enter the final stretch for elections, news had been quite somber for the passage of medical marijuana. After a year of strong initial polling that indicated Amendment 2 would be pushed through by voters, recent weeks have shown that the initiative was in danger of falling short and failing to pass.

One pollster even said medical marijuana in Florida "is done."

But a new poll conducted in the past week by public opinion research firm Anzalone Liszt Grove -- called one of the most reliable pollsters by FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver -- shows that Amendment 2 is still very much alive and, according to this data, will pass come November 4.

See also: Florida Medical Marijuana Is "Done," According to Latest Poll

Following the grim news from two polls in the past couple of weeks, United for Care commissioned Anzalone Liszt Grove, based out of Washington, D.C., to conduct a poll on Amendment 2.

The firm conducted the survey using cell phones and landlines between October 22 and 27 and found that 62 percent of "likely voters" will approve the initiative, with a 3.4 percent margin of error.

Amendment 2 needs 60 percent to pass.

Just a week ago, a poll conducted by the Tampa Bay Times said that Amendment 2 will fall short.

This is a huge shift from July, when a Quinnipiac poll showed that nearly 90 percent of voters polled said they back the legalization of medical marijuana.

Following a Gravis Marketing poll that showed Amendment 2 was garnering only 50 percent, United for Care released a statement on the Anzalone Liszt Grove.

"We're at 61 percent," United for Care Campaign Manager Ben Pollara wrote in an email Tuesday.

Another United for Care staffer told New Times that the Gravis poll was "not known for its reliability."

What the Anzalone Liszt Grove survey did was focus on the actual language on the ballot, and not a summary of it, which is what most other pollsters usually do.

According to the survey, 62 percent of likely voters say they have either already voted Yes or will vote Yes for Amendment 2, with 35 percent opposed and 3 percent still undecided.

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Chris Joseph
Contact: Chris Joseph

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