Barack Obama's approval rating is pretty abysmal right now in Florida, at 44 percent. That number seems OK until you consider that Gov. Rick Scott is at 43 percent. Then you realize that number is terrible.
But Floridians aren't so disenchanted with the president that they're seeing red. A Quinnipiac poll released today shows that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is the clear frontrunner here for 2016.[jump]
According to the poll data, it seems impossible for her not to win in the primary. It's going to be a landslide. Sixty-seven percent of registered Dems say they're gonna vote for her. Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren are both tied for second place at 8 percent. The rest of the candidates should just be embarrassed.
There seems to be much greater variety of opinion among Republicans, although -- unsurprisingly -- two Florida boys lead the pack: former Gov. Jeb Bush up front at 21 percent with Sen. Marco Rubio close behind at 18 percent. Some other bros, like Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul, and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, also have a decent amount of support.
And if the election were tomorrow, Florida would go blue for the third time in a row and only the fifth time in 50 years. When asked to choose between Clinton and Bush, the former wins with 49 percent of the vote.
So even if sales of Hard Choices are sucking, Clinton should be celebrating. At least she's selling more books than Elizabeth Warren. But in American politics, what people know about you is less important than how they feel about you. And based on the Quinnipiac poll, it seems that Florida voters want to give Clinton an important swing state over their former governor.
We should also probably note that none of these candidates has announced a decision to run.
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