Jeb Bush Falls to Third in Florida Behind Donald Trump and Ben Carson, According to New Poll

Keep New Times Free
I Support
  • Local
  • Community
  • Journalism
  • logo

Support the independent voice of South Florida and help keep the future of New Times free.

Donald Trump continues to plow ahead in Florida, while Jeb Bush continues to flounder. This according to a new Gravis Marketing poll. The poll, released Monday, revealed more bad news for the former governor. Ben Carson has vaulted ahead of Bush, leaving Jeb in third.

Gravis polled 1,584 registered voters from September 5 to 11 via automated phone calls and cell-phone responses. And, much like we're seeing in Iowa and New Hampshire, Trump and Carson are polling strong in first and second place while Bush is coming in at third. 

The results show Trump holding a 33 percent lead in Florida, with Carson coming in with 22 percent. Bush, meanwhile, garnered 15 percent in the Gravis poll.

Bush has been struggling to make ground in Florida over the past few months, especially with Trump's popularity among GOP voters soaring.

Jeb had been cruising at 20 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released back on June 18. But Qunnipiac's August poll showed Bush dropping to 17 percent among Florida's Republican voters, all while Trump began to gain serious momentum, coming from 3 percent to 21 percent among Florida Republicans, which, according to Quinnipiac, reflects the national polling.

Now, with Gravis, Trump's lead has become a trend, while Bush continues to fall behind. Marco Rubio, meanwhile, has been lost in the forest of GOP contenders. 

According to those polled by Gravis, at 5.4 percent, Rubio trails Carly Florina, who came in with 6.2 percent, and Ted Cruz at 5.7 percent. Mike Huckabee is at 1.8 percent, and Scott Walker is at 1.1 percent. 

Yet, even with Rubio flailing, Gravis showed Jeb no love. When Florida Republican voters were asked who they would support if the race came down between Bush and Rubio, Rubio would win 51-31 percent, with 18 percent undecided.

Back in June, Quinnipiac had Rubio at 18 percent among Republican voters. The latest poll has him at 11 percent.

Plus, as it stands right now, whoever wins the Republican ticket is leading Democrat Hillary Clinton in Florida when it comes to the general election.

The Gravis poll shows Clinton leading the Democratic with 41.6 percent, followed by Joe Biden — who has not announced his candidacy — at 21.4 percent. Bernie Sanders comes in third in Florida with 12.5 percent.

Gravis has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent for the 891 Republicans and plus or minus 4 percent for the 693 Democrats polled. 

Keep New Times Broward-Palm Beach Free... Since we started New Times Broward-Palm Beach, it has been defined as the free, independent voice of South Florida, and we would like to keep it that way. Offering our readers free access to incisive coverage of local news, food and culture. Producing stories on everything from political scandals to the hottest new bands, with gutsy reporting, stylish writing, and staffers who've won everything from the Society of Professional Journalists' Sigma Delta Chi feature-writing award to the Casey Medal for Meritorious Journalism. But with local journalism's existence under siege and advertising revenue setbacks having a larger impact, it is important now more than ever for us to rally support behind funding our local journalism. You can help by participating in our "I Support" membership program, allowing us to keep covering South Florida with no paywalls.

We use cookies to collect and analyze information on site performance and usage, and to enhance and customize content and advertisements. By clicking 'X' or continuing to use the site, you agree to allow cookies to be placed. To find out more, visit our cookies policy and our privacy policy.


Join the New Times community and help support independent local journalism in South Florida.


Join the New Times community and help support independent local journalism in South Florida.