Rick Scott Leads Charlie Crist by Three in New Poll, but Trends Favor Crist | The Daily Pulp | South Florida | Broward Palm Beach New Times | The Leading Independent News Source in Broward-Palm Beach, Florida


Rick Scott Leads Charlie Crist by Three in New Poll, but Trends Favor Crist

This just in: The race for governor is still pretty much a coin toss with less than four weeks to vote.

For months, polls have shown Scott leading but by the slightest of margins, yet that's not stopping pollsters from surveying more people and releasing more polls.

The newest poll, coming from the YouGov/CBS News/New York Times online survey, shows Scott leading Crist 47-44 percent with leaners included.

Without leaners, Scott leads 44-40 percent.

So, we still don't know what's going to happen.

Still, according to the Miami Herald, trends seem to be leaning toward favoring Crist.

Citing polls that show Crist leading by 6 percent in SurveyUSA and a new Republican data-analysis Optimus showing him leading by 1, the Herald says the numbers are moving toward the challenger.

"The story here is these guys have been spending a ton of money," Scott Tranter, an analyst with Optimus told the paper. "But the only guy who's seeing any movement here is Charlie Crist."

The Optimus poll shows Crist collecting 41.1 percent, with Scott getting 40.1 percent.

Meanwhile, a News-Press forecast model gives Scott a 52.2 percent chance of winning the race in November. So who the hell knows.

The reason for the tight race remains that Floridians just don't care for either candidate.

In Quinnipiac's latest survey in late September, when likely voters were asked, "Is your opinion of Charlie Crist favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?" 49 percent said they have an unfavorable opinion, as opposed to 41 percent who said they like him.

Likewise, Scott gets an unfavorable rating of 48 percent compared to a 42 percent favorable.

But that's not stopping the candidates from pushing themselves on people.

The Florida Republican Party released a new ad last week showing Charlie Crist hugging Barack Obama.

And why not?

When Sen. Marco Rubio ran against Crist for the Senate back in 2010, he released a similar hugger ad. And it apparently worked.

So, you never know.

Scott and Crist are set to have a debate at Broward College on October 15.

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Chris Joseph
Contact: Chris Joseph

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