Severe Weather

Tropical System Has 80 Percent Chance of Developing into Storm in Next Few Days

Just when you thought it was safe to not care about hurricanes, the National Hurricane Center is saying that there are not one but two systems out there with a good chance of development. Of special note is the first system that just came off the coast of Africa that forecasters are saying has an 80 percent chance of developing.

As it is with most systems, it's unclear if it'll become anything significant, but the one the National Hurricane Center is tracking has an area of low wind shear and is located about 370 miles south of the Cape Verde islands. The system is moving at 10 to 15 mph.

Forecasters say the system could become a tropical depression in the next 24 to 36 hours.

If the system does turn into anything stronger than that, it will be named Tropical Storm Ida.  

The system is expected to move north-northwestward to northwestward over the central Atlantic at about 10 mph for the next several days, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Of course, like with all of the systems and storms that have come within our neck of the woods, there's an excellent chance El Nino is going to pummel it into submission.

Much like what we saw with Hurricane Erika, this system is expected to hit strong wind shears, which will severely affect the way it develops. The system that is tracking behind the first one as a 60 percent of forming into something, forecasters are saying. But that system will be hitting even warmer water, low shear, and moist air as it moves westward.

For now, forecasters will keep an eye on the systems. According to the National Hurricane Center, environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression over the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward. We'll keep you posted if this becomes a thing we need to keep an eye on.
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Chris Joseph
Contact: Chris Joseph