Wet Weekend: Tropical Storm Warning Issued for Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach Counties

Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm today.
Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm today. Photo courtesy of the National Hurricane Center
On the third day of hurricane season, the tropics sent to me: a Tropical Storm Warning!

That's right! Less than 72 hours into the official 2022 hurricane season, "much of southern and central Florida, including the Florida Keys" are under a Tropical Storm Warning as of the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest 8 a.m. advisory.

Translation: Within the next 36 hours, South Floridians should expect "tropical storm conditions," i.e., sustained wind speeds of 39 mph.   As of midmorning, the system, which is being referred to as "Potential Tropical Cyclone One," is an area of low pressure roughly 400 miles southwest of Fort Myers. However, the NHC expects the storm to strengthen into a tropical storm today, at which point it will be the first named Atlantic storm of the season, Tropical Storm Alex.

"Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts," the NHC advisory stated. "The system is expected to develop a well-defined center and become a tropical storm later today, and some slight strengthening is possible while it approaches Florida today and tonight."

The Florida Keys, west coast of Florida south of the Middle of Longboat Key, east coast of Florida south of the Volusia/Brevard County Line, Lake Okeechobee, and the Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio, Artemisa, La Habana, and Mayabeque, and the Northwestern Bahamas remain in a tropical storm warning.

NHC predicts that tropical storm conditions are expected to start later tonight. The forecast has the storm hitting the southern and central portions of Florida on Saturday. South Florida is expected to receive four to 12 inches of rain.

"This rain may produce considerable flash and urban flooding," the NHC advisory warns. "Isolated tornadoes are possible over South Florida beginning this evening and continuing through Saturday."

For the seventh year running, the National Weather Service and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration have predicted above-average Atlantic hurricane seasons owing to the ongoing La Niña weather phenomenon, which leads to cooler water in the equatorial Pacific Ocean and warmer-than-average surface temperatures in the Atlantic and Caribbean.

This year, they're forecasting between 14 and 21 named storms (winds of 30 mph or higher), six to 10 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), and three to six "major hurricanes" (winds of 111 mph or higher).

Miami-Dade County recommends a hurricane supply checklist that includes seven days' worth of nonperishable food, water, battery-powered devices, and a first-aid kit.
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Jess Swanson is a staff writer at New Times. Born and raised in Miami, she graduated from the University of Miami’s School of Communication and wrote briefly for the student newspaper until realizing her true calling: pissing off fraternity brothers by reporting about their parties on her crime blog. Especially gifted in jumping rope and solving Rubik’s cubes, she also holds the title for longest stint as an unpaid intern in New Times history. She left the Magic City for New York to earn her master’s degree from Columbia University School of Journalism, where she spent a year profiling circumcised men who were trying to regrow their foreskins for a story that ultimately won the John Horgan Award for Critical Science Journalism. Terrified by pizza rats and arctic temperatures, she quickly returned to her natural habitat.
Contact: Jess Swanson